Indicators Analysis

A pre-committed, falsifiable watch list instead of a post-hoc narrative. Define the scenarios you are tracking — or link them from your ACH hypotheses — then list the specific, observable, collectible events that would signal each one is unfolding. Log dated, sourced, confidence-rated status updates as reporting comes in; record absence of an expected indicator as a signal in its own right; and let the dashboard show which future current evidence is most consistent with. Every review is a versioned snapshot, so you keep a defensible record of what you were watching for and when you saw it.